Lutry vs Collombey-Muraz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
21.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lutry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SBC
2 - 2
FCL
57%
21%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FCL
0 - 2
CSC
55%
21%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 3
FCL
11%
19%
71%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 3
FCA
28%
23%
49%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
FCL
77%
15%
9%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Collombey-Muraz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
USC
0 - 0
VER
68%
18%
14%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SBC
1 - 0
USC
62%
20%
19%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
USC
1 - 1
CSC
39%
23%
38%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
3 - 4
USC
9%
16%
75%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
USC
2 - 3
FCA
21%
22%
57%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |