Lutry vs Sierre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
42.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lutry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
FCR
0 - 2
FCL
36%
24%
40%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 1
MON
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
PER
3 - 2
FCL
41%
24%
35%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
FCL
3 - 3
COL
40%
24%
36%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 0
FCO
69%
18%
14%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sierre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SIE
3 - 1
STA
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
USC
3 - 1
SIE
21%
21%
58%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SIE
4 - 1
SBC
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
CSC
0 - 1
SIE
55%
21%
25%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
COL
3 - 1
SIE
44%
22%
34%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -2 |