Lutry vs Perly-Certoux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
43.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lutry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
COL
1 - 1
FCL
65%
19%
17%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FCL
0 - 1
VER
55%
22%
23%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
STA
2 - 0
FCL
73%
16%
10%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 0
USC
58%
21%
22%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SBC
2 - 2
FCL
57%
21%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Perly-Certoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 2
PER
10%
17%
73%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
PER
0 - 0
USC
68%
17%
15%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
SBC
2 - 4
PER
44%
24%
32%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
PER
1 - 1
CSC
59%
21%
21%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
PER
3 - 1
FCA
25%
22%
53%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +3 |