Lutry vs Montreux Sports analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
14.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lutry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
PER
3 - 2
FCL
41%
24%
35%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
FCL
3 - 3
COL
40%
24%
36%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 0
FCO
69%
18%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
TER
1 - 1
FCL
75%
16%
10%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 3
SER
22%
23%
55%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Montreux Sports
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
MON
0 - 4
STA
20%
22%
57%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
USC
5 - 0
MON
45%
22%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
SBC
5 - 0
MON
67%
19%
15%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
MON
3 - 1
CSC
31%
24%
46%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
STA
4 - 0
MON
77%
15%
8%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |