Lutry vs La Tour / Le Pâquier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
18.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lutry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
LER
4 - 3
FCL
49%
23%
29%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
LAU
3 - 0
FCL
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
FCL
1 - 5
POR
62%
20%
19%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
LYS
1 - 2
FCL
64%
18%
18%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
FCL
2 - 3
DUR
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
La Tour / Le Pâquier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
TPA
0 - 1
LAU
20%
22%
58%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
TPA
57%
21%
22%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
TPA
0 - 1
LYS
33%
22%
44%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
DUR
2 - 2
TPA
38%
24%
38%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
SEC
3 - 1
TPA
55%
21%
24%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |