Lutry vs Romontois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lutry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
GUM
4 - 2
FCL
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
FCL
3 - 0
LAC
10%
17%
74%
|
24 | 53 | 29 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
COL
1 - 0
FCL
55%
22%
23%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
FCL
3 - 2
TPA
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
LER
4 - 3
FCL
49%
23%
29%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Romontois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ROM
2 - 4
LAU
21%
22%
57%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
POR
3 - 1
ROM
51%
22%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ROM
3 - 2
LYS
28%
23%
50%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
DUR
5 - 1
ROM
33%
24%
43%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SEC
2 - 1
ROM
59%
21%
21%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |