Lutry vs CS Chênois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
23.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lutry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 3
FCL
11%
19%
71%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 3
FCA
28%
23%
49%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
FCL
77%
15%
9%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
FCL
2 - 1
SIE
34%
23%
43%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
FCR
0 - 2
FCL
36%
24%
40%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CS Chênois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CSC
0 - 4
STA
31%
24%
45%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
USC
1 - 1
CSC
39%
23%
38%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CSC
1 - 2
SBC
58%
22%
20%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CSC
4 - 1
VER
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
CSC
9%
16%
75%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |