FC Lustenau vs FC Hörbranz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
22%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+89%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
5º
13º
5º
24
5º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 45 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
44.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
74.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
64% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 25 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lustenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
RTB
2 - 3
LUS
47%
22%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
AND
2 - 0
LUS
44%
22%
34%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ADM
4 - 1
LUS
62%
18%
19%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LUS
1 - 0
NEN
42%
22%
36%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
LUS
4 - 1
BIZ
69%
18%
14%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FC Hörbranz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FCH
0 - 3
AND
47%
21%
32%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
ALB
1 - 3
FCH
70%
16%
14%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FCH
3 - 3
ADM
28%
21%
51%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
NEN
1 - 4
FCH
73%
15%
13%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
FCH
0 - 6
AUS
63%
18%
19%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -2 |