FC Lori vs Ararat Yerevan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
FCL
1 - 0
PYU
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
BKM
0 - 0
FCL
19%
19%
63%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
FCL
0 - 1
VAN
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
AVA
1 - 2
FCL
67%
21%
12%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2020 |
BAN
3 - 0
FCL
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ararat Yerevan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
SHI
0 - 3
ARA
51%
27%
23%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ARA
3 - 0
JSF
32%
20%
47%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
NOA
2 - 1
ARA
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
ARA
1 - 0
PYU
33%
25%
42%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 1
AVA
11%
19%
69%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |