Cup Last 16
Global 2-4
Lokomotiv vs Ararat Yerevan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
77.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat Yerevan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ARA
1 - 3
PYU
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
FCL
1 - 0
ARA
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
ARA
2 - 4
BAN
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
NOA
1 - 1
ARA
59%
24%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
ARA
0 - 0
SHI
22%
26%
53%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +1 |