Lixa vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
74.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lixa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
LIX
1 - 0
RIB
31%
24%
46%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
LEC
2 - 1
LIX
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1986 |
BEL
4 - 0
LIX
79%
12%
9%
|
23 | 65 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
GFC
5 - 0
VST
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
VST
0 - 1
ACA
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
PAÇ
1 - 2
VST
40%
27%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2006 |
VST
0 - 2
BOA
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
PIN
0 - 0
VST
11%
18%
71%
|
75 | 43 | 32 | 0 |