Lixa vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
61.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lixa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
RIB
2 - 0
LIX
79%
14%
7%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
LIX
0 - 0
ADO
19%
23%
58%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
LIX
2 - 1
JOA
24%
23%
54%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
VSC
4 - 0
LIX
81%
13%
6%
|
18 | 47 | 29 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
LIX
2 - 4
VIZ
14%
22%
64%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 1
FAM
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
FEL
3 - 0
VAR
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 1
TIR
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
RIB
1 - 2
VAR
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 1
ADO
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |