FC Lichtenfels vs Bayern Kitzingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
38.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lichtenfels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
VKA
3 - 0
FCL
37%
23%
40%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
FCL
2 - 0
KLE
33%
23%
45%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
TUR
1 - 2
FCL
37%
23%
41%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
FCL
1 - 1
FCF
49%
22%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
FCS
1 - 0
FCL
84%
11%
5%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern Kitzingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BAY
3 - 1
TSU
26%
23%
52%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
TGH
1 - 2
BAY
65%
18%
17%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BAY
0 - 0
TSV
15%
19%
67%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
TSK
3 - 1
BAY
56%
21%
23%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BAY
1 - 3
MEM
47%
22%
31%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |