FC Lahti vs VPS Vaasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
54.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
6º
12º
11º
32
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lahti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
IFK
0 - 0
FCL
43%
25%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
FCL
4 - 0
EKE
44%
25%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 1
HJK
16%
23%
62%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SEI
5 - 5
FCL
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
KUO
1 - 0
FCL
75%
17%
8%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VAA
3 - 2
HAK
45%
25%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
SEI
3 - 1
VAA
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
GNI
3 - 0
VAA
23%
24%
53%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
VAA
2 - 1
IFK
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ILV
3 - 2
VAA
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |