FC Lahti vs VPS Vaasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
52.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
9º
9º
36
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 54 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 50 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 46 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 42 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 29 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
10º
|
40.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lahti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
OUL
1 - 1
FCL
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 0
HON
22%
26%
53%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
HAK
1 - 1
FCL
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
FCL
0 - 2
IFK
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 1
SEI
26%
27%
47%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
VAA
3 - 2
SEI
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
ILV
0 - 2
VAA
38%
26%
37%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
VAA
4 - 1
HAK
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
VAA
3 - 0
OUL
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
INT
0 - 2
VAA
50%
24%
25%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |