FC Lahti vs Ilves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
43.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
9º
9º
20
3º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 54 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 50 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 46 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 42 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 29 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
10º
|
40.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lahti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 2
INT
24%
26%
50%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
INT
2 - 1
FCL
63%
22%
16%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
FCL
0 - 2
VAA
23%
24%
52%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
OUL
1 - 1
FCL
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 0
HON
22%
26%
53%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
HON
2 - 0
ILV
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
ILV
1 - 0
OUL
39%
24%
38%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
OUL
0 - 3
ILV
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ILV
0 - 3
KUO
24%
27%
49%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
ILV
1 - 2
HAK
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |