FC Lahti vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
61.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
6º
12º
11º
43
2º
12º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lahti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SEI
5 - 5
FCL
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
KUO
1 - 0
FCL
75%
17%
8%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 2
OUL
30%
25%
46%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
INT
3 - 0
FCL
70%
19%
12%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 2
ILV
23%
26%
51%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HJK
3 - 0
OUL
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
HJK
2 - 0
HAK
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
HJK
1 - 1
PAN
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
PAN
3 - 0
HJK
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ILV
3 - 0
HJK
35%
26%
40%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |