Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 2-1
FC Lahti vs ND Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
45.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lahti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
KUO
1 - 1
FCL
27%
27%
47%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
GOR
1 - 0
FCL
68%
19%
14%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
FCL
1 - 1
HON
36%
26%
39%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2009 |
DIN
2 - 0
FCL
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
INT
1 - 1
FCL
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 1
GOR
45%
25%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
GOR
1 - 0
FCL
68%
19%
14%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
NKP
2 - 1
GOR
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
GOR
3 - 0
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
CEL
1 - 2
GOR
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |