FC La Libertad vs Pajapita FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
29.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1335%
+1021%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
13º
13º
8
15º
19º
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 35 |
1º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 33 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 32 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 31 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 31 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 30 |
6º
|
5.5% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 29 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 28 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 27 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 27 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 25 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 25 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
19 | 23 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 22 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 22 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 22 |
16º
|
11% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 20 |
17º
|
17.5% | |
|
20º
|
4 | 15 |
18º
|
31.5% | |
|
19º
|
5 | 12 |
19º
|
29% | |
|
|
18º
|
8 | 12 |
20º
|
36% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC La Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
FCL
3 - 0
SPD
19%
23%
58%
|
20 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
QUI
0 - 0
FCL
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FCL
0 - 1
DFC
18%
21%
61%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
NUE
2 - 0
FCL
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 0
DJC
10%
15%
76%
|
12 | 46 | 34 | +9 |
Matches
Pajapita FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
COA
3 - 1
PFC
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
PFC
2 - 1
IZT
13%
18%
69%
|
20 | 55 | 35 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PFC
2 - 3
SPD
20%
23%
57%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
QUI
6 - 0
PFC
66%
20%
14%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
PFC
0 - 0
DFC
12%
16%
73%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | +2 |