La Brède vs AS Muretaine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
59.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Muretaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 0
LOR
42%
25%
33%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 1
BAL
38%
26%
36%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
NIM
0 - 0
MUR
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 1
SAI
33%
25%
43%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
VIC
4 - 0
MUR
61%
21%
18%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |