La Brède vs Bergerac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.9%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
77.7%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.6%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Brède
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
FLB
0 - 1
AUB
8%
14%
79%
|
7 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
FLB
49%
21%
30%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
FLB
0 - 1
MUR
18%
22%
59%
|
8 | 32 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
BER
1 - 0
GDB
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
SAE
4 - 1
BER
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
BER
0 - 0
STP
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
LPV
0 - 0
BER
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SÈT
1 - 0
BER
58%
24%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |