Champions League Last 16
Global 4-3
FC Kuusysi vs Zenit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
72%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Kuusysi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
ZEN
2 - 1
FCK
92%
6%
2%
|
42 | 78 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
SAR
1 - 2
FCK
86%
10%
5%
|
41 | 76 | 35 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
FCK
2 - 1
SAR
18%
20%
62%
|
39 | 76 | 37 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 1984 |
FCK
0 - 0
BRA
21%
21%
58%
|
38 | 66 | 28 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
BRA
2 - 1
FCK
86%
10%
5%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Zenit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
ZEN
2 - 1
FCK
92%
6%
2%
|
78 | 42 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
VIF
0 - 2
ZEN
62%
19%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
ZEN
2 - 0
VIF
56%
21%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
SGD
4 - 1
ZEN
91%
6%
3%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
ZEN
1 - 2
SGD
16%
21%
63%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | -1 |