FC Koper vs Olimpija Ljubljana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
2º
6º
3º
15
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
15 | 64 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 64 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
|
3º
|
13 | 62 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 55 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 55 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 54 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 41 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 41 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 36 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 27 |
10º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
20.5% | 32% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
21.5% | 25.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
35% | 27% |
|
Mid-table
|
21.5% | 15.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Koper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
RAD
0 - 1
FCK
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FCK
2 - 2
IST
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SKA
1 - 1
FCK
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
RIJ
1 - 0
FCK
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
FCK
4 - 3
BRI
72%
17%
11%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpija Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 0
POL
42%
26%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 0
NKP
72%
19%
10%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 0
CSK
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 1
SLO
42%
25%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 0
SAR
43%
25%
33%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |