FC Koper vs NS Mura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
2º
6º
4º
15
2º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 67 |
1º
|
38% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 61 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 60 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
|
6º
|
13 | 59 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 55 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
|
4º
|
15 | 55 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 41 |
7º
|
27.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 39 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 34 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 30 |
10º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
11% | 7% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
14.5% | 12.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
37.5% | 28.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
35.5% | 50% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Koper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
DEK
1 - 8
FCK
10%
18%
71%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
FCK
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FCK
0 - 0
CEL
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
NKG
0 - 6
FCK
4%
9%
87%
|
76 | 5 | 71 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DOM
0 - 3
FCK
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
NS Mura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
BOG
0 - 4
NSM
4%
9%
88%
|
73 | 14 | 59 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
NSM
4 - 0
NKP
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
4 - 0
NSM
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
NKV
0 - 9
NSM
7%
14%
79%
|
73 | 21 | 52 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NSM
1 - 0
RAD
55%
24%
22%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |