FC Koper vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
2º
6º
4º
14
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 65 |
1º
|
31.5% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 63 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
|
5º
|
14 | 60 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
13 | 59 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 55 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 53 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 41 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 38 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 36 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 30 |
10º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
15.5% | 16% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
16% | 15.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
31% | 41% |
|
Mid-table
|
37.5% | 27% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Koper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
NKG
0 - 6
FCK
4%
9%
87%
|
76 | 5 | 71 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DOM
0 - 3
FCK
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FCK
3 - 0
NKN
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 0
FCK
35%
28%
38%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NKP
0 - 2
FCK
23%
26%
51%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
CEL
4 - 1
PYU
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CEL
0 - 3
NKP
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
PYU
1 - 0
CEL
35%
24%
41%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 2
CEL
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
SHR
3 - 1
CEL
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |