FC Konolfingen vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.9%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.3%
83.6%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
12.5%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.6%
0-4
8.9%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12.2%
0-5
5%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.6%
0-6
2.4%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Konolfingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
FCK
3 - 0
OLT
52%
22%
26%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
MOU
2 - 0
FCK
53%
21%
25%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FCK
1 - 2
LAN
27%
23%
50%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
FCL
1 - 1
ZUR
31%
26%
44%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
FCV
1 - 1
FCL
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
FCL
1 - 1
GCZ
33%
27%
41%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
STG
2 - 1
FCL
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
BAS
3 - 0
FCL
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |