Natters vs Wacker Innsbruck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.3%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
78%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
12%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.3%
0-4
7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
5º
16º
12º
45
3º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
65% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
83% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
83% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Natters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
FCK
1 - 3
IAC
19%
19%
63%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
FCK
4 - 2
FCV
38%
24%
39%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
WBO
1 - 1
FCK
62%
19%
19%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FCK
3 - 2
SVM
72%
16%
13%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
UNI
5 - 2
FCK
77%
14%
10%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Wacker Innsbruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
WIN
2 - 0
SPG
75%
17%
7%
|
61 | 21 | 40 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
WIN
0 - 0
KEM
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 24 | 38 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
IAC
2 - 3
WIN
10%
17%
73%
|
61 | 26 | 35 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
WIN
2 - 0
SCM
77%
17%
7%
|
62 | 18 | 44 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
EBB
1 - 2
WIN
8%
17%
75%
|
62 | 24 | 38 | 0 |