Kobenhavn vs Randers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
19.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
5º
4º
12
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 44 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 39 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 38 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
|
5º
|
14 | 38 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 37 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 33 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 30 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
|
7º
|
12 | 30 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 28 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 23 |
10º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 17 |
11º
|
53% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 12 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
84% | 26.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
16% | 73.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kobenhavn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
FCK
5 - 1
MAG
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FCK
3 - 2
AGF
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 3
FCK
17%
21%
62%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
LYN
0 - 2
FCK
16%
21%
64%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
FCK
3 - 2
SON
56%
22%
22%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Randers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
RAN
3 - 1
VFF
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
VEJ
2 - 3
RAN
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ROS
1 - 3
RAN
26%
24%
51%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
RAN
2 - 1
ARK
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
VFF
3 - 1
RAN
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |