Kobenhavn vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
8.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kobenhavn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2015 |
FCK
2 - 0
ANZ
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2015 |
FCK
1 - 1
CEL
58%
24%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
FCK
1 - 0
HOB
67%
21%
12%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
SON
1 - 2
FCK
31%
27%
42%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2015 |
FCK
1 - 0
OBK
63%
22%
15%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 2
NEW
60%
22%
19%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
NEW
2 - 1
VAL
20%
21%
59%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
AIR
2 - 1
NEW
62%
20%
18%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
TNS
2 - 0
NEW
69%
17%
15%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
AIR
6 - 1
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |