Europa League Fase Final 1/16
Global 3-4
Kobenhavn vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kobenhavn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
BRU
0 - 1
FCK
39%
25%
37%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
FCK
5 - 2
ACH
70%
20%
10%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2008 |
FCK
1 - 1
RBK
47%
26%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
AAB
3 - 1
FCK
42%
27%
31%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
FCK
2 - 1
AGF
71%
20%
10%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
OPA
2 - 0
MAC
45%
26%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 0
MID
54%
25%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
STO
1 - 0
MAC
27%
27%
46%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 1
NEW
47%
26%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 0
WIG
53%
25%
22%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |