Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 3-2
Kobenhavn vs Riga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kobenhavn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
RAN
0 - 1
FCK
18%
25%
57%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
FCK
1 - 1
CRV
36%
25%
39%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
FCK
2 - 0
LYN
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
CRV
1 - 1
FCK
60%
22%
19%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
SON
1 - 2
FCK
17%
25%
58%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
LIE
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
HJK
2 - 2
CAR
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
RIG
1 - 2
CAR
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
HJK
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 1
PGL
45%
27%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |