Kobenhavn vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
5º
4º
17
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 44 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
17 | 39 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 38 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
|
5º
|
14 | 38 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 37 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 36 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 30 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 28 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 27 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 23 |
10º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 15 |
11º
|
56% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 12 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
84% | 95% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
16% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kobenhavn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 3
FCK
17%
21%
62%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
LYN
0 - 2
FCK
16%
21%
64%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
FCK
3 - 2
SON
56%
22%
22%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
VKP
3 - 3
FCK
42%
23%
35%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 5
FCK
25%
23%
52%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
AGF
1 - 1
MID
30%
25%
46%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
LUT
1 - 2
AGF
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
MID
4 - 0
AGF
60%
21%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
ACH
0 - 3
AGF
19%
22%
59%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
SSF
0 - 9
AGF
3%
9%
88%
|
80 | 7 | 73 | 0 |