Kobenhavn vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
11º
2º
35
2º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kobenhavn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MID
2 - 1
FCK
39%
25%
36%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
FCK
0 - 0
SEV
30%
27%
43%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
OBK
2 - 1
FCK
19%
23%
58%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
BVB
3 - 0
FCK
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
FCK
1 - 0
SIF
56%
22%
22%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AGF
3 - 1
AAB
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SIF
1 - 0
AGF
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
AGF
2 - 3
FCN
37%
27%
37%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
VAT
0 - 8
AGF
4%
10%
86%
|
72 | 25 | 47 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
ACH
2 - 1
AGF
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |