Kobenhavn vs Aalborg BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
5º
2º
9
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 45 |
1º
|
58% | |
|
|
3º
|
17 | 38 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 37 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 36 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 35 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 33 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 30 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 29 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
|
9º
|
9 | 27 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 24 |
10º
|
39.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 15 |
11º
|
64% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 12 |
12º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
94.5% | 19.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5.5% | 80.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kobenhavn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MID
2 - 1
FCK
43%
24%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
FCK
1 - 2
LAN
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FCK
3 - 1
BIF
41%
25%
34%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
KIL
1 - 1
FCK
28%
24%
48%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FCN
3 - 2
FCK
46%
23%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aalborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 4
AAB
31%
23%
46%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
AAB
2 - 1
LYN
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 7
AAB
2%
6%
93%
|
78 | 10 | 68 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
RAN
1 - 0
AAB
36%
25%
39%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
AAB
0 - 4
AGF
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |