FC Kerala vs ARA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
39.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Kerala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
GOA
1 - 0
KER
43%
22%
35%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
BLA
1 - 3
KER
36%
22%
42%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
BUT
1 - 1
KER
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
KER
1 - 1
GOA
59%
20%
21%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
MUM
1 - 1
KER
59%
19%
21%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
ARA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
MUM
1 - 3
ARA
40%
22%
38%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
ARA
2 - 2
BLA
73%
15%
12%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
BUT
1 - 0
ARA
63%
21%
17%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
GOA
2 - 2
ARA
29%
22%
50%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
ARA
1 - 0
BUT
30%
24%
46%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |