Karabakh Wien vs Wiener Neustadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.4%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
76.7%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karabakh Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
KAW
1 - 1
PET
43%
23%
34%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2018 |
SCH
1 - 5
KAW
10%
16%
74%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2018 |
NEU
2 - 4
KAW
19%
21%
60%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
KAW
1 - 0
STA
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
AUS
5 - 0
KAW
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Wiener Neustadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
WIE
5 - 2
BRU
83%
13%
4%
|
61 | 7 | 54 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 0
WIE
12%
20%
68%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
SKN
1 - 1
WIE
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
WIE
0 - 2
SKN
32%
24%
44%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2018 |
FCL
1 - 1
WIE
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |