FC Kapaz vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
53.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
10º
9º
83
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Kapaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ZIR
2 - 1
FCK
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FCK
3 - 3
FKN
27%
28%
45%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
SUM
1 - 3
FCK
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
FCK
2 - 1
FKQ
24%
26%
51%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SFK
3 - 2
FCK
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 3
QAR
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
LEV
3 - 2
QAR
86%
10%
4%
|
72 | 95 | 23 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
QAR
3 - 1
ZIR
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
QAR
2 - 2
LEV
7%
15%
78%
|
72 | 95 | 23 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FKN
1 - 4
QAR
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |