FC Kapaz vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
56.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
7º
10º
7º
68
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Kapaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2023 |
ZIR
1 - 1
FCK
72%
19%
9%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
FCK
0 - 3
SFK
15%
24%
62%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FCK
0 - 1
SUM
34%
29%
37%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 1
FCK
49%
27%
24%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FCK
1 - 0
TUR
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
FKN
1 - 1
SHA
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
TUR
4 - 0
FKN
25%
28%
47%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
FKN
2 - 4
QAR
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
FKN
2 - 0
TUR
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SEB
1 - 1
FKN
22%
27%
51%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |