FC Kapaz vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
22%
69.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
19.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.3%
0-2
17%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
7º
10º
7º
68
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Kapaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SFK
5 - 0
FCK
82%
13%
5%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SUM
0 - 0
FCK
70%
20%
10%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FCK
2 - 1
SHA
17%
23%
60%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
TUR
2 - 0
FCK
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
FCK
0 - 1
QAR
9%
21%
71%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FKN
0 - 0
TUR
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
QAR
3 - 1
FKN
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
SEB
0 - 2
FKN
20%
26%
54%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FKQ
1 - 2
FKN
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FKN
3 - 0
SUM
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |