Junkersdorf vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
41.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junkersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2006 |
BSC
2 - 1
FCJ
66%
19%
16%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
FCJ
2 - 3
MSV
46%
22%
31%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
AAA
1 - 1
FCJ
56%
22%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
FCJ
1 - 0
USO
40%
24%
36%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
SPE
2 - 0
FCJ
39%
24%
38%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2006 |
VFB
1 - 1
KFC
29%
25%
47%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
DUS
4 - 1
VFB
27%
24%
50%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -3 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
VFB
2 - 1
SWE
47%
23%
30%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
WEG
2 - 3
VFB
17%
21%
62%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
VFB
2 - 1
DUR
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |