FC Juárez vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
45.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
5º
11º
10º
11
4º
14º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
16 | 34 |
1º
|
38% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 33 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 30 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 29 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
11 | 28 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 27 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 26 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 24 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 22 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
10 | 22 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 21 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 20 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 20 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 19 |
14º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 19 |
15º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 19 |
16º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 16 |
17º
|
26% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 11 |
18º
|
59% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
20.5% | 50.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
36% | 38.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
43.5% | 11% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Juárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
MAZ
1 - 1
JUA
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
TIG
2 - 2
JUA
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
MER
1 - 2
JUA
42%
23%
34%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
CFC
1 - 3
JUA
36%
24%
40%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
PAC
0 - 1
JUA
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CAZ
1 - 1
ATS
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2024 |
CAZ
3 - 4
AME
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
AME
0 - 0
CAZ
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CAZ
3 - 0
TIJ
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
TIJ
3 - 0
CAZ
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |