FC Jazz vs Ilves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Jazz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
FFJ
4 - 0
FCJ
51%
25%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1996 |
MIK
1 - 3
FCJ
27%
27%
47%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1996 |
FCJ
4 - 1
INT
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 1996 |
FCJ
4 - 1
HJK
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 1996 |
HAK
2 - 3
FCJ
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1996 |
ILV
3 - 0
MIK
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1996 |
VAA
5 - 0
ILV
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 1996 |
ILV
0 - 1
ROP
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 1996 |
FFJ
0 - 1
ILV
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 1996 |
ILV
2 - 1
INT
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |