Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 2-2
FC Irtysh Pavlodar vs Szombathelyi Haladas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Irtysh Pavlodar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
SZO
1 - 0
FCI
44%
26%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
SHA
1 - 0
FCI
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2009 |
ORD
1 - 0
FCI
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2009 |
FCI
1 - 2
TOB
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2009 |
ATY
2 - 0
FCI
32%
28%
41%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Szombathelyi Haladas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
SZO
1 - 0
FCI
44%
26%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
SZO
1 - 2
ZTE
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
PAK
0 - 2
SZO
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
SZO
1 - 0
DIO
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
GYO
3 - 3
SZO
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |