Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 3-0
FC Irtysh Pavlodar vs Dunav Ruse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
20.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Irtysh Pavlodar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
FCI
1 - 0
KAI
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
TAR
2 - 0
FCI
26%
28%
46%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
FCI
0 - 0
OKZ
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
ORD
0 - 1
FCI
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
FCA
1 - 2
FCI
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Dunav Ruse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2017 |
DUN
1 - 0
CSK
40%
27%
34%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
LPL
3 - 4
DUN
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
DUN
0 - 1
LSO
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
CVA
1 - 2
DUN
43%
29%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
DUN
2 - 2
LUD
33%
25%
42%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |