Ingolstadt 04 vs VfR Aalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
37.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
ELV
0 - 0
ING
45%
27%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
ING
0 - 1
HOF
39%
27%
35%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
HES
0 - 5
ING
46%
26%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2006 |
ING
3 - 0
186
44%
25%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
WEH
2 - 3
ING
72%
18%
10%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
VFR
5 - 2
STU
42%
26%
33%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
KAI
1 - 1
VFR
26%
26%
48%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
VFR
2 - 2
KSC
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
BAY
2 - 2
VFR
44%
27%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
ELV
0 - 1
VFR
39%
28%
34%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |