Ingolstadt 04 vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2009 |
ING
1 - 2
AUG
37%
25%
38%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2009 |
ERZ
1 - 0
ING
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
ING
2 - 0
BAY
43%
26%
30%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
ING
4 - 0
TUS
32%
27%
42%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
FSV
1 - 1
ING
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
ERF
1 - 2
MSV
22%
24%
54%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
ERF
0 - 2
OFC
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
WER
0 - 0
ERF
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
ERF
2 - 2
WUP
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
FCU
1 - 1
ERF
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |