Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
46.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ROS
1 - 1
ING
62%
23%
16%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ING
2 - 3
MUN
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
OSN
1 - 0
ING
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2009 |
ING
0 - 0
AAA
28%
26%
46%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
KAI
2 - 0
ING
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
MSV
2 - 0
SCF
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2009 |
MSV
2 - 2
FCN
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2009 |
AAA
1 - 2
MSV
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
MSV
4 - 1
MUN
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
AUG
1 - 1
MSV
37%
28%
36%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |