Ingolstadt 04 vs Grossbardorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
FUR
1 - 2
ING
37%
25%
39%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
ING
3 - 2
FRO
68%
19%
12%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
ING
1 - 1
WOL
79%
15%
6%
|
40 | 15 | 25 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
JRE
2 - 0
ING
25%
24%
52%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
ING
2 - 1
TSV
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Grossbardorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
GRO
1 - 1
JRE
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
TSV
0 - 0
GRO
43%
22%
34%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
GRO
4 - 4
UNT
52%
23%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
BAD
2 - 4
GRO
22%
22%
56%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
GRO
5 - 2
BAY
46%
23%
31%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |