Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
HEI
0 - 1
ING
38%
29%
33%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ING
2 - 0
FSV
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
EBT
0 - 0
ING
43%
28%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ING
1 - 3
KSC
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
ERZ
0 - 3
ING
34%
29%
37%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2015 |
F95
1 - 1
KAI
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
STP
4 - 0
F95
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
F95
2 - 0
DAR
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2015 |
RBL
3 - 1
F95
45%
26%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
F95
2 - 2
RTV
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |