Ingolstadt 04 vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
44.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
M05
0 - 3
ING
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
ING
4 - 0
SCF
26%
26%
49%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
WEH
0 - 0
ING
59%
23%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2008 |
ING
1 - 2
AUG
42%
26%
33%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
MSV
6 - 1
ING
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2008 |
FCN
0 - 0
FSV
68%
21%
12%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
STP
1 - 0
FCN
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
FCN
2 - 1
ROT
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
TUS
1 - 1
FCN
29%
28%
44%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2008 |
FCN
2 - 0
SCF
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |